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A long time ago I wrote a post about stock options called Basically I wrote about why most people do not get rich from stock options here in the valley and I really hope that young folks coming out of college read my post.  With that said, I am writing this post today because my company just got acquired by a huge company this week.   This is one of the many mergers and acquisitions in the technology field this week and those of you who know me know which deal it is.   As expected, I am not rich , but I will be getting enough from my shares to afford a decent vacation.

There were a lot of mergers and acquisitions in the past few years because having an IPO is becoming increasingly difficult.   Although the stock market is a lot higher than last year, the truth is that the economy is still awful and is possibly even worse than last year.  If you look at mutual fund flows, you will see that billions of dollars are still being pulled out of equities.  Money is flowing towards gold, bonds, and just plain cash.  Unemployment is actually higher than last year if you face reality and forget about the government swill in the mainstream media.  Right now half a million people are claiming new unemployment benefits every week  while only tens of thousands of  private sector jobs are being created every month.  It is basically like someone is trying to fill the Grand Canyon with a shovel and a bucket of sand. It is not pretty and  I do  feel fortunate to be where I am at right now.

Personally, I think that mergers and acquisitions make a lot of sense right now.  Small independent companies like the one I work for have to work so much harder just to survive, and many small companies are dying out.   I think a lot of small companies actually want to be bought right now because it would make life easier for them.  Also, there is  still a lot of money for the founders if they are acquired.  One of my classmates from college just walked away with millions in the Disney/Playdom deal because he is a founder.  You could say that he is just lucky, but he did found a company that has a product that Disney thought was worth buying, and his company does support many families.     It takes hard work, dedication, and vision to build a company, and I do believe that founders of companies deserve the rewards they get in these deals.

I’m not sure what the future will be like with a big conglomerate, but for now everything should stay the same.  After my last company was partially sold for a very high sum in 2007,  recruiters descended like vultures and a ton of people left.  I really hope that the same thing doesn’t  happen here, but the culture of the valley is that once an exit event happens a lot of people will leave and try to strike it rich in another startup.  I guess my take on that is the same thing I wrote years ago.  If you are not a founder, then don’t expect to get rich.  If you are a founder, don’t count on succeeding because most startups still die out or never reach an exit event.   Anyway, I will still stick to my plan of early retirement, and this deal will hopefully put me a few months ahead of my original goal.

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This May would be my fifth anniversary in the “real world”.  I basically packed a suitcase and left home a week after graduating from college and started working and living on my own.  These are some of the things I learned so far about myself and work after five years.

When you just get out of college, an interview question many people ask you is, “Where do you want to be in five years?” I usually said that I would like to still be an engineer.  I really did not want to be a manager or executive, and as of now that is still true.  I am still an engineer, but in the past five years I have learned a lot of things in the jobs I had and on my own.  I am comfortable with where I am at right now, and when you stay an engineer there really isn’t a lot of room to move “up”.  Some people may say that’s a deadend job, but it is a pretty decent deadend job and I am fine with it.

Another thing I figured out pretty quickly is that I don’t care about money as much as a flexible work schedule and a good supportive work environment. I am not afraid to quit my job and find something new if I am unhappy, and I am not afraid of being jobless for a while .  Basically, I have developed a confidence that I could survive on my abilities, and I refuse to believe that I have to stay in a situation that I do not like.  I see a job as a path to retirement, and not the thing that defines my life.  Some of my family members have said that I am a job hopper just because I am on my third job in five years, but it is pretty common here for people to move around, and I think I’m actually pretty normal.

With that said, I have to admit that my current job is really the best job I have had so far, and although I know I would be paid more at my previous job I am content to be where I am now. It is not perfect, but it is a place where I can work on my own terms and a company with a great product line. If that changes drastically or if an extremely well rounded offer comes along then I would leave, but I don’t see that happening any time soon.  I am much more clear about what I want from a job now than I was five years ago because I have worked at multiple places and I know I have a pretty good situation here.

Finally, the Silicon Valley is really an awesome place for young engineers to learn about the world and accumulate some wealth.  For the most part, software engineers do the same thing in a multitude of companies.  I think the interesting difference between my work and another release engineer’s work  is just the product we ship out and the impact the products make on the world.  The products are what make our work somewhat meaningful, because otherwise it’s just a waste of time.  The Valley is also a good place to sharpen your skills, earn an above average salary, and make great connections.   If you are frugal and plan well you can save enough in a few years and retire somewhere cheap.  We will definitely get out of here when we retire, because it’s a great place for what we Chinese call the “bare branches” (single men), but once you have a family the cost of living here is just not worth it.

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According to a report based on new Census data, last year the This is worse than the decline of homeownership amongst all the other major ethnic groups.  Some economists quoted in the article were surprised at this development since Asians households in America generally have high income and low debt.   So why has this group dropped out of homeownership the most?

The article suggested that the effect may be regional because most Asians in America live in California, which is one of the states hardest hit by declining prices and the recession.  This is definitely a solid theory.  Asians are not immune to job losses and for many families the loss of even one job means that the  next mortgage payment is no longer affordable.  As I wrote in , Asians often ignore the basic debt to income ratio guidelines to buy a home because they figure they will save money on everything else.  If two people were paying 58% of their income on a mortgage then one job loss definitely puts the nail on the coffin.  California currently has one of the highest unemployment rates in the country, and since the Asian community is concentrated here in California we are affected as a whole.

Next I think the speculative mania during the housing bubble was much more intense amongst the Asian community.  This is just my anecdotal experience, but my whole family and Indian coworkers talked about real estate pretty much 24/7.  These people mostly had significant amounts of savings for a downpayment, great credit, and all they were seeing is that the real estate market went up 20%  a year while stocks were not exactly catching up.   This prompted a lot of people to buy real estate that they did not even need.  Some of them intended to flip the properties quickly, and some became landlords with the intention to flip a bit later.   Another thing that spread the fire is that Asians talk about personal finance amongst family and friends very often so more and more people jumped on the bandwagon.  There are also folks who used their homes as ATMs to buy more property because they figured that they were  making a sound  investment.  For the most part, the Asians I have encountered that did all of these real estate deals knew exactly what they were getting into, and they were all sure that they were being smart about their money.  The phrase I heard the most often were that “real estate prices in the Bay Area will never go down” and “real estate is the best investment”.  I know that many non-Asian people did the same thing, but I feel that the Asian community got into real estate much more because owning real property is high on their priority lists.

Now after the crash, I actually do not personally know any Asian families that lost their homes.  I do know several that are fairly underwater, but they are still faithfully paying their debt because they are still employed.  Believe it or not real estate is still a really hot topic for my parents and their friends.  Now they are all talking about scooping up cheap properties as rental properties.  Now what I hear from my mom is similar to the following, “this property sold for $400,000 in 2005!  Now it’s 70% off! Positive cashflow!!!”.   I responded to her, “mom, remember when I told you a few years ago that real estate could come down by 40% and you didn’t believe me?”  She then said, “It’s more than 40% down!!”   I guess the obsession will never end.      Anyway, I wish them luck, and I hope some of the decline in homeownership was voluntary and not due to foreclosures.

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Earlier this year , but now it seems that our income taxes will go up a little bit once again. This time it is due to deflation and it is not widely publicized.

This change will pretty much affect everyone who pays any income taxes because tax brackets are being pushed lower due to deflation.  you can see how the brackets are changing this year.    For us the increase will be around $150 on top of the extra 0.25% we are already going to pay.  It is not a huge deal, but it is interesting because this instance of lowering the tax bracket is very rare.

On the flip side, it is possible that next year.    This depends on the California Consumer Price Index numbers in October.  If this happens then Californians may see their property taxes go down a little bit, but it is also not significant considering that the deflation number is around 0.7% right now.  So on a $300,000 assessment with a 1.1% property tax rate, the 0.7% deflation will save a homeowner around $23 for the entire year.

I don’t think most Californians will feel the tax changes due to deflation, but it is possible that deflation could affect federal tax brackets next year, too.  Additionally, the IRS uses annual CPI to figure out limits for things such as IRA and 401k contributions, so those limits may not increase.  Although the deflation rate is quite small now, it is definitely something to keep an eye on.

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So by now I think everyone knows that to run search on Yahoo websites.  This is still waiting for regulatory approval, but chances are it will be fine since the two behemoths are not exactly merging and the combined search market of Yahoo and Microsoft is only around 35%. The word from inside Yahoo Search is that they will keep on developing their search engine for now while they wait for the final approval.  No one is fired as of now but most people in search are understandably dejected that their product is essentially being scrapped.  Personally, I think this is a perfect time for the codemonkeys in Yahoo to band together and use their search engine for one last hurrah.

I used to work for a leading shopping comparison engine that has  significantly less traffic than Yahoo, but that is where I learned about how much money a website could potentially make even if it has a miniature slice of the giant internet pie. (At that time the company I worked for had only 0.2% of all search traffic).   The Yahoo search engine supposedly has 20% of the search market, so the codemonkeys that control it really have some serious power.  Here are some of the ways they could “experiment” with the search engine in the next few months for their own profit:

  • Change search results for products to websites that pay commissions and embed their own affiliate codes in the links.  By my estimate from my past experience in shopping comparison, these Yahoos only need to sign up as an affiliate for just a few major merchants and leave it running for one day to generate millions.
  • Create websites with various content and manually rank them high on the Yahoo search engine.  Drive traffic to these personal websites and get advertising dollars.  This probably would not make money as quickly as tactic one, but it will build up a website very quickly and possibly generate revenue for years to come.

Are these tactics unethical?  I don’t think they are if the search engine still finds results that are relevant to the person making the query. In fact, both Microsoft and Google manually rank many search results for various reasons so it isn’t exactly a democratic process anyway.  The creators of the search engines can and do control what you see on top.  Is it an inappropriate use of company property?  Perhaps, but it may also be beneficial to Yahoo to see the results of the experiment and see if there is a business opportunity there. The worst thing that could happen is that the Yahoos will be fired.

The chances of this actually happening is fairly low since it would require  source and data changes, and releases of software the size  of the Yahoo search engine  would take the coordination of a good sized team of engineers.  When you have to involve so many people in such a project to subvert a giant corporation it is not likely to happen.   However, if they manage to actually do it correctly and let it last for a few months until the Yahoo search algorithms are taken offline then  they will probably all be rich enough to retire.    Anyway, if this happens and Yahoo search employees retire with millions in commissions or advertising money I would ask that they let me write the book on it.  It would be the ultimate sequel, and it would be hilarious.

Now my  serious comment on this whole deal is  that it is better for the internet as a whole that Yahoo is consolidating its search with Microsoft instead of Google.  If Google owned 85% to 90% of the search market then they will wield even more power than they do now.  With that much market share Google will not have any incentive to improve their product, and they will have way too much power over what internet publishers do.  Even now Google is able to bully website owners into drop certain types of advertising with the threat of banning from their search engine.  Competition is good, and  I was hoping that Yahoo would beat Google for a while since I have been using Yahoo since it was still hosted at akebono.stanford.edu.  Right now I sincerely hope that the Yahoo Search employees do well after this whole deal is over and perhaps start a few new companies here.

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