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Lets continue looking at San Mateo home sellers in trouble. Just looking at the most depreciated homes in the previous post you may think that the losses incurred are not so bad. One person said to me that at least these home sellers aren’t losing 100%. The truth is they’re losing much more than 100%. Take the example of a home seller losing 24% of the price of his home and has only 20% of the home’s equity then he is really losing 120% of his equity plus all the interest payments he has made. Basically, all the homeowners who are losing more than what they have in equity are losing more than 100% of their money. I am not sure what amount of equity each of these homes have, but I am sure the statistics would look a lot uglier if we compared the value lost to the amount of equity owned.

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Belmont: 1

Burlingame: 2

Daly City: 13

East Palo Alto: 6

Foster City: 2

Menlo Park: 3

Pacifica: 1

Redwood City: 13

San Bruno: 4

San Carlos: 1

San Mateo: 27

South San Francisco: 29

The clear winner (or loser) is South San Francisco, followed closely by San Mateo. It seems that South San Francisco’s Westborough neighborhood near Skyline College has a lot of homes in close proximity to each other that have had drastic haircuts. For example, on Carter Drive alone there are six homes that are included in the list of troubled sellers. That area isn’t really horrible, but being on the edge of San Mateo County its real estate prices seems to be collapsing in on itself.

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As promised, the following are the five troubled homes with the lowest price per square foot. Several of them are on the aforementioned Carter Dr. in South San Francisco and it seems that these neighbors will drive their collective prices down as they compete for buyers. The last home on this list also showed up in the previous post as one of the biggest losers. Most of these homes have above average sizes and it shows that not only the starter homes are falling in price.

Address: 3550 Carter Dr #134, South San Francisco
Last Sale Date: 2/17/2006
Last Sale Price: 586,000
Current Asking Price: 450,000
Size: 1644 Sqft
Price per Sqft: $274

Address: 3550 Carter Dr #26, South San Francisco
Last Sale Date: 1/6/2006
Last Sale Price: 590,000
Current Asking Price: 590,000
Size: 1644 Sqft
Price per Sqft: $359

Address: 3231 Geoffrey Dr, San Bruno
Last Sale Date: 7/29/2005
Last Sale Price: 790000
Current Asking Price: 775000
Size: 2050 Sqft
Price per Sqft: $378

Address: 3875 Carter Dr #204, South San Francisco
Last Sale Date: 10/14/2005
Last Sale Price: 575000
Current Asking Price: 419999
Size: 1105
Price per Sqft: $380

Address: 2318 Flores St, San Mateo
Last Sale Date: 12/29/2006
Last Sale Price: 1,250,000
Current Asking Price: 888,000
Size: 2304
Price per Sqft: $385

Tomorrow we will look at some more of this data and look at some “luxury” homes.

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So, I am a pretty big fan of the blog where the blogger lists houses that are bought in the past two years and currently listed for lower than the last sale price. So I wondered if I could find some listings in San Mateo County that qualify as “in trouble”. A lot of people are saying that San Mateo County’s real estate is resistant to the current housing market and won’t ever fall, but after browsing Redfin’s San Mateo listings I found over 100 homes that are current asking prices less than their last selling price. I found a lot of interesting data through this exercise and I will share it here all week long. Today I will present the overall averages and the five homes with the greatest annualized percentage loss plus the five homes with the highest current price per square foot.

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I found a total of 102 homes in the San Mateo County that were last sold within the last 3 years and are currently selling for lower or equal to their last sale prices. The average amount of time from last sale date is 1.78 years. The average current asking price is $631,059 and the average last sale price is $703591. The average size of these homes is around 1200 square feet and the average annualized loss per year is about 6.76% if all of these homes sell for their current asking prices. Overall, they are still quite expensive and have an average per square foot price tag of $540.

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I calculated the annualized loss using 10/7/07 as the current date and assumed yearly interest compound. Four out of these five homes were bought less than a year ago, and that is probably why their annualized loss is so high. I know that the home at 2318 Flores St. is a short sale and it has been advertised for months.

Address:
Last Sale Date: 05/23/2007
Last Sale Price: 543099
Current Asking Price: 429000
Annualized Loss: -46.7%

Address:
Last Sale Date: 12/29/2006
Last Sale Price: 1250000
Current Asking Price: 888000
Annualized Loss: -35.8%

Address:
Last Sale Date: 07/24/2007
Last Sale Price: 688937
Current Asking Price: 649900
Annualized Loss: -24.7%

Address:
Last Sale Date: 06/21/2007
Last Sale Price: 476469
Current Asking Price: 439000
Annualized Loss: -24.2%

Address:
Last Sale Date: 05/20/2004
Last Sale Price: 1984091
Current Asking Price: 862000
Annualized Loss: -21.8%

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I think most of these homes belong in an episode of Dr. Housing Bubble’s Real Homes of Genius. Four of these homes are smaller than the condo I rent and the cost per square foot is more than some parts of Manhattan. The largest home in this list is a condo so there is no land premium. It is a condo in a good location, but it still seems to be quite overpriced. So here they are:

Address:
Current Asking Price: 889900
Annualized Loss: -0.7%
Size: 910 Square Feet
Price Per Square Foot: $978

Address:
Current Asking Price: 1599999
Annualized Loss: -16.5%
Size: 1911 Square Feet
Price Per Square Foot: $837

Address:
Current Asking Price: 850000
Annualized Loss: -8.9%
Size: 1030 Square Feet
Price Per Square Foot: $825

Address:
Current Asking Price: 649000
Annualized Loss: -0%
Size: 820 Square Feet
Price Per Square Foot: $791

Address:
Current Asking Price: 529000
Annualized Loss: -4.1%
Size: 680 Square Feet
Price Per Square Foot: $778

Tomorrow I will post the following: Cities with the Most Homes in Trouble, and The Least Expensive Homes by Price per Square Foot.

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So tonight on the way home I heard about a game called “Financial Football”. The plug is this: “buy online viagra” When I heard this I thought, wow, what a horrible idea for a game. What kind of kids would play a game called Financial Football? Additionally, it seems like a game that’s geared towards boys since most girls I know aren’t really into football. It was really funny because the news report ended with a man saying, “many people in the NFL are on their way to leaving their careers penniless because they do not know how to manage their money, and we’re hoping that this game will teach kids about finances.” Anyway, curiosity got the best of me and I looked up the game online. Apparently

The game starts off with choosing your teams. I picked the Patriots and the Raiders. Then the “Kickoff” starts and a series of finance related trivia questions are thrown at you. You only have ten seconds to answer each, and some of them were not very easy to answer in ten seconds. For example, one question asked how much interest would you receive if you had $100 and it compounded yearly for 2 years at 10% a year. I got the correct answer of $21, but it’s not super easy to answer in 10 seconds. Some of the questions are so long that it’s hard to read it all in the strict time limit. I was surprised that the questions covered a very wide range of topics including insurance, mortgages, interest rates, credit cards, and simple economics. It even had a question about the . However, this is my favorite question out of the entire game:

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A. 10 years

B. At the end of the year.

C. When you retire

D. Never

At first I picked C and the game said that was wrong, and then I picked D, and that was the correct answer. I’m glad to see that Visa is being brutally honest with the children of America.

I didn’t agree with some of the questions and answers in the game. For example, one question asked which investment was the riskiest and listed corporate bonds, corporate stocks, and money markets. Their correct answer was corporate stocks, but actually I think some junk corporate bonds are much worse. Besides that, I think this is a good game for parents to play against their children even thought I am not very fond of the football elements throughout the game. It also contains too much trivial information such as whose face is on which coin. The radio newsclip said that teachers are using Financial Football to teach middle school students, and I’m not sure a lot of these fast paced question and answer sessions will stick. Hopefully some of the good things in this game will be absorbed into the young minds of the future. Anyway, if you’re bored, try your hand at some and tell me what you think.

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The hubby and I have been married for almost a month now, and we are sort of getting our finances together. I opened a joint account at Vanguard with the new hubby. I told him that we should name the account the Baby + Downpayment Fund. We both would like to purchase a home sometime after we have our first kid. However, babies and houses both cost a lot of money and we need to prepare. So I set up a chart at the and set an arbitrary goal of $100,000 with a deadline of two years from now. Two years is a good timeframe for this goal because I think the housing market will continue to decline until at least 2009, and also, we would like to have a child two to three years from now so we have a bit of time to ourselves in our marriage. $100,000 isn’t really enough for a downpayment on a median priced home in the Bay Area right now, but maybe in two years there may be some bargains as sellers become more desperate and more ARM loans are reset. There may also be a infinitesimally small possibility that we no longer live in this crazy place and the home prices will be much more reasonable. Either way, $100,000 seemed like a nice round number to work towards.

We’re both putting $10,000 in this account now as a start. The new contributions will be whatever we manage to save together as a couple after we take our individual 401k contributions. Right now all the funds are in the Vanguard California Tax-Exempt Money Market fund so it’s pretty safe. Eventually I may move some of the cash to other funds. We are $80,000 short right now, and that means for us to achieve the goal in 24 months the account has to grow on average of $3,333 per month. Can we do it? We will see, but I think it’s very possible.

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So about a month ago I wrote about the and now it’s time for an update on these homes.

So in Daly City we had . It’s still on the market and now the asking price is $574,900, a sharp reduction from the $639,900 price of last month. Unfortunately the current price still works out to be $610 per square foot, and it most definitely needs to be repainted inside and out.

Now in East Palo Alto we had . The pictures really aren’t that bad and the price has been reduced $10,000 from last month to the current asking of $479,000. Well, would you pay $522 per square foot in East Palo Alto? I certainly wouldn’t.

In Menlo Park we have 1359 Hollyburne Ave, which also dropped $10,000 from last month and still unsold. It’s not very pretty though:

The Pacifica home at 641 Forest Lake Dr is still unsold and went through a $25,000 pricecut in a month. . It looks like the other Pacifica foreclosure was sold for $613,000 a few months ago. That is about $6000 less than the Countrywide price.

The former million dollar home at seems to be stirring up quite a bit of interest lately. It seems to have a lot of agents listing it that do not agree on the price. On Redfin it’s 779,900, but on Craigslist for the past week or so there has been a posting that read like this:

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Reply to:
Date: 2007-09-11, 10:57PM PDTHouses in this neighborhood begin at $1.1 – $1.9Call 1-888-769-9284 for more info

The Craigslist prices ranged from 729,999 to 749,999. If we assume that these ads are legitimate, then that means this house went for another $90k+ haircut in a month. It seems that it’s a unshowable fixer because there are zero pictures.

Over in South San Francisco, last month I pointed out that the condo at faced stiff competition from its neighbor which was priced at $499k. Well, it seems like the listing agents cut the price to $465k from $507k within the last thirty days, and the other listing in the same complex was sold. Could this home sell quickly now?

This update shows that most of the foreclosed homes are not sold and are still going through fairly drastic pricecuts. We’re not at the bottom yet kids.

So what are the new San Mateo foreclosures available at Countrywide? Lets take a look:

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Address: .
Last Sale Date: 07/27/2005
Last Sale Price: $654,000
Current Asking Price: $539,900
Size: 1230 Sqft
Comments: This is a condo with an HOA of $270 a month. The pictures on Redfin do not look so bad, but I’m betting that it won’t be sold within a month even though it’s below $500 per square foot.

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Address:
Last Sale Date: 07/12/2007
Last Sale Price: $492,750
Current Asking Price:$564,000
Size: 960 square ft.
Comments: This is an oddball on the Countrywide list. What’s going on here? Could it be an active flipper that already purchased the home from Countrywide in July? Usually it takes at least 3 months of late payments for a loan to go to default, so it doesn’t make sense that the home could be in foreclosure so quickly. The previous sale was for $670,000 in 2006 so it’s likely that was the mortgage that defaulted. Well, I think if it’s a flip, it will flop. Asking for almost $600 per square foot in East Palo Alto probably won’t fly these days, then again, what do I know, someone paid almost $700 per square foot for this same house last year. There only needs to be one person to fall for this.

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Address:
Last Sale Date: 03/29/2005
Last Sale Price: $650,000
Current Asking: $549,900
Size: Disputed number. Zillow says 590 sqft while the listing on Redfin says 1007 sqft. It looks really small though.
Comments: It’s possible that the square footage posted by the realtor is inflated on this property. Bringing a tape measure with you to open houses is a good idea I think. It doesn’t matter if it’s 590 sqft or 1007 sqft, it’s still not worth it to pay that much to live 1.5 blocks from the 101.

Address: 615 Island Pl
Last Sale Date: 10/21/2003
Last Sale Price: $923,000
Current Asking: $1,125,900
Size: 2310 sqft
Comments: This home is a single family in a planned community so you still have to pay an HOA I believe. It’s actually in Redwood Shores, which is the part of Redwood City next to Electronic Arts and Oracle with some expensive apartments and homes built on an old Six Flags Marine World. It all looks really nice, but according to my mom who works in commercial real estate her company considered buying the business parks there and the surveyor found that the entire area is sinking so they didn’t buy it. The same sinking is happening in Foster City since it used to be a landfill and many of my uncle’s neighbor’s sewage pipes were broken by the ground sinking. My uncle sold his Foster City townhome quite a few years back because he was afraid his sewage pipes would break too. The Redwood Shores area is also plagued with electrical problems whenever it rains a bit hard and I have experienced this since I used to work there. If you don’t mind the occasional sewage spillage and blackouts then Redwood Shores is really a nice place to live, and this house looks pretty great.

Well, that wraps up this month’s San Mateo County Countrywide Foreclosures. I hope this was informative, and I’ll try to do another update in a month!

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