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Lets continue looking at San Mateo home sellers in trouble. Just looking at the most depreciated homes in the previous post you may think that the losses incurred are not so bad. One person said to me that at least these home sellers aren’t losing 100%. The truth is they’re losing much more than 100%. Take the example of a home seller losing 24% of the price of his home and has only 20% of the home’s equity then he is really losing 120% of his equity plus all the interest payments he has made. Basically, all the homeowners who are losing more than what they have in equity are losing more than 100% of their money. I am not sure what amount of equity each of these homes have, but I am sure the statistics would look a lot uglier if we compared the value lost to the amount of equity owned.

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Belmont: 1

Burlingame: 2

Daly City: 13

East Palo Alto: 6

Foster City: 2

Menlo Park: 3

Pacifica: 1

Redwood City: 13

San Bruno: 4

San Carlos: 1

San Mateo: 27

South San Francisco: 29

The clear winner (or loser) is South San Francisco, followed closely by San Mateo. It seems that South San Francisco’s Westborough neighborhood near Skyline College has a lot of homes in close proximity to each other that have had drastic haircuts. For example, on Carter Drive alone there are six homes that are included in the list of troubled sellers. That area isn’t really horrible, but being on the edge of San Mateo County its real estate prices seems to be collapsing in on itself.

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As promised, the following are the five troubled homes with the lowest price per square foot. Several of them are on the aforementioned Carter Dr. in South San Francisco and it seems that these neighbors will drive their collective prices down as they compete for buyers. The last home on this list also showed up in the previous post as one of the biggest losers. Most of these homes have above average sizes and it shows that not only the starter homes are falling in price.

Address: 3550 Carter Dr #134, South San Francisco
Last Sale Date: 2/17/2006
Last Sale Price: 586,000
Current Asking Price: 450,000
Size: 1644 Sqft
Price per Sqft: $274

Address: 3550 Carter Dr #26, South San Francisco
Last Sale Date: 1/6/2006
Last Sale Price: 590,000
Current Asking Price: 590,000
Size: 1644 Sqft
Price per Sqft: $359

Address: 3231 Geoffrey Dr, San Bruno
Last Sale Date: 7/29/2005
Last Sale Price: 790000
Current Asking Price: 775000
Size: 2050 Sqft
Price per Sqft: $378

Address: 3875 Carter Dr #204, South San Francisco
Last Sale Date: 10/14/2005
Last Sale Price: 575000
Current Asking Price: 419999
Size: 1105
Price per Sqft: $380

Address: 2318 Flores St, San Mateo
Last Sale Date: 12/29/2006
Last Sale Price: 1,250,000
Current Asking Price: 888,000
Size: 2304
Price per Sqft: $385

Tomorrow we will look at some more of this data and look at some “luxury” homes.

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So tonight on the way home I heard about a game called “Financial Football”. The plug is this: “cialis 20mg” When I heard this I thought, wow, what a horrible idea for a game. What kind of kids would play a game called Financial Football? Additionally, it seems like a game that’s geared towards boys since most girls I know aren’t really into football. It was really funny because the news report ended with a man saying, “many people in the NFL are on their way to leaving their careers penniless because they do not know how to manage their money, and we’re hoping that this game will teach kids about finances.” Anyway, curiosity got the best of me and I looked up the game online. Apparently

The game starts off with choosing your teams. I picked the Patriots and the Raiders. Then the “Kickoff” starts and a series of finance related trivia questions are thrown at you. You only have ten seconds to answer each, and some of them were not very easy to answer in ten seconds. For example, one question asked how much interest would you receive if you had $100 and it compounded yearly for 2 years at 10% a year. I got the correct answer of $21, but it’s not super easy to answer in 10 seconds. Some of the questions are so long that it’s hard to read it all in the strict time limit. I was surprised that the questions covered a very wide range of topics including insurance, mortgages, interest rates, credit cards, and simple economics. It even had a question about the . However, this is my favorite question out of the entire game:

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A. 10 years

B. At the end of the year.

C. When you retire

D. Never

At first I picked C and the game said that was wrong, and then I picked D, and that was the correct answer. I’m glad to see that Visa is being brutally honest with the children of America.

I didn’t agree with some of the questions and answers in the game. For example, one question asked which investment was the riskiest and listed corporate bonds, corporate stocks, and money markets. Their correct answer was corporate stocks, but actually I think some junk corporate bonds are much worse. Besides that, I think this is a good game for parents to play against their children even thought I am not very fond of the football elements throughout the game. It also contains too much trivial information such as whose face is on which coin. The radio newsclip said that teachers are using Financial Football to teach middle school students, and I’m not sure a lot of these fast paced question and answer sessions will stick. Hopefully some of the good things in this game will be absorbed into the young minds of the future. Anyway, if you’re bored, try your hand at some and tell me what you think.

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This week The Baglady was selected for a few different blog carnivals. Here they are:

— In this edition I wrote about my current . It wasn’t a very fun article. The following are articles that I really liked from this week

  • — I have also been meaning to write an article on charitable giving and debt. I feel like she is on the right track. Sometimes I feel like I’m copping out just by giving away money, because giving time and effort is sometimes much more personal and helpful.
  • — I’ve always been a fan of Four Pillars because I actually have a lot of Canadian relatives. My mom’s cousin is actually a Canadian working in Tennessee. The recent monetary decline of the US dollar really hurt her because she sends her money to her family in Vancouver and she’s basically gotten a 30% pay cut in the last few years.
  • — I thought this article was great because it really breaks it down that after taxes and expenses we don’t really have much money left. That’s why I limit to 2% of what we earn.

The next place The Baglady showed up is the The featured article is . I made a note that my boyfriend is really cheap, and it goes beyond frugality, and this article was appropriately featured under “Being Frugal vs. Being Cheap”. Additionally I really enjoyed the following articles:

  • – I know full well what the latte factor is. My hubby is sort of addicted to a drink called “boba”, which is an Asian milk tea drink with tapioca balls in it. When I first started dating him I calculated how much he spent on boba, and it worked out to be a quite large number. Now we moved rather far away from accessible boba shops so he is not getting his fix very often. Sometimes I bring home a treat for him because I work fairly close to a boba shop, but I only buy the special which is a dollar or two cheaper than everything else.
  • — If my hubby read this he’d laugh and say, “That’s so you!!”

Next, we have the . The Baglady’s article on the has been included. This article has attracted some very thoughtful and detailed comments that I recommend reading. This carnival also had a fairly disturbing but thought provoking article titled

Anyway, I hope all of you enjoyed reading these carnivals. If you’re new to The Baglady feel free to

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The hubby and I have been married for almost a month now, and we are sort of getting our finances together. I opened a joint account at Vanguard with the new hubby. I told him that we should name the account the Baby + Downpayment Fund. We both would like to purchase a home sometime after we have our first kid. However, babies and houses both cost a lot of money and we need to prepare. So I set up a chart at the and set an arbitrary goal of $100,000 with a deadline of two years from now. Two years is a good timeframe for this goal because I think the housing market will continue to decline until at least 2009, and also, we would like to have a child two to three years from now so we have a bit of time to ourselves in our marriage. $100,000 isn’t really enough for a downpayment on a median priced home in the Bay Area right now, but maybe in two years there may be some bargains as sellers become more desperate and more ARM loans are reset. There may also be a infinitesimally small possibility that we no longer live in this crazy place and the home prices will be much more reasonable. Either way, $100,000 seemed like a nice round number to work towards.

We’re both putting $10,000 in this account now as a start. The new contributions will be whatever we manage to save together as a couple after we take our individual 401k contributions. Right now all the funds are in the Vanguard California Tax-Exempt Money Market fund so it’s pretty safe. Eventually I may move some of the cash to other funds. We are $80,000 short right now, and that means for us to achieve the goal in 24 months the account has to grow on average of $3,333 per month. Can we do it? We will see, but I think it’s very possible.

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Mark Twain once said, “There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics.” I always thought that the Consumer Price Index is all three. Every month we get a number from the government telling us how much prices have risen, and every month I am quite shocked as to how ridiculously low “inflation” is reported. In the past seven years, and have soared. If you forget about the statistics, you can just look at the size of your new neighbor’s mortgage, your gas receipt, or your grocery bill to see significant increases. So how is it possible that the CPI we see in the media is always so low?

The answer can be found here at the :

Q3. Is the CPI a cost-of-living index?

A3. No, although it frequently (and mistakenly) is called a cost-of-living index. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS or the Bureau) has for some time used a cost-of-living framework in making practical decisions about questions that arise in constructing the CPI. A cost-of-living index is a conceptual measurement goal, however, not a straightforward alternative to the CPI. A cost-of-living index would measure changes over time in the amount that consumers need to spend to reach a certain “utility level” or “standard of living.” … It is very difficult to determine the proper treatment of public goods, such as safety and education, and other broad concerns, such as health, water quality, and crime that would comprise a complete cost-of-living framework.

Fine, now I understand that it’s very difficult to construct a cost of living index and I suppose that’s why ““. But why do adjust according to the CPI if it doesn’t reflect the movement of their living expenses? How could our seniors who live on their pensions or social security funds that increase according to the CPI handle cost of living adjustments that are several times of the CPI? Should they be adjusting their spending so that 60% of their money is spent on movie tickets and airfare? Why are we using a statistic that we know is broken on something as important as the livelihoods of entire families?

The government does benefit financially in several ways by reporting a lower CPI rate. Since they adjust their wages and retirement benefits according to the number, the lower it is they less they spend. The tax brackets and exemptions are also tied to the CPI, so a smaller increase in the tax bracket means more tax revenues if most people’s wages adjusted more than the artificially low CPI. Additionally, a low CPI in the media reassures consumers that things aren’t getting more expensive and it’s okay to spend. More spending stimulates the economy, but decimates the savings rate and actually increases inflation.

I have no idea what the “true” inflation on everyday living expenditures is, but I am absolutely positive that it has been much more than 3 percent a year for the last seven years. That’s why whenever I see retirement calculators that use a historic CPI rate to estimate my future costs I tend to be skeptical. I always add at least 3% to the CPI inflation number to estimate my future costs. I am pretty sure that real inflation will hurt us next year since the Fed has cut the interest rate a whopping 0.5% and crude oil is now at an all time high. In conclusion, don’t trust the CPI numbers as a measure of inflation. In fact, don’t trust any numbers but your own because only you are familiar with your own situation and needs.

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